The player to watch in this game is Luis Suárez, who has seven goals and one assist in 18 La Liga games this season. AccuScore gives Suárez a 43.66 percent chance to score against Rayo Vallecano. He has 19 SCA and 3 GCA in 18 La Liga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” SCG is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atletico Madrid: 1.50
• Rayo Vallecano: 6.80
• Draw: 4.30
Spread
• Atletico Madrid: -0.5, -1: 1.65
• Rayo Vallecano: +0.5, +1: 2.38
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.98
• Under 2.5: 1.92
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Atletico Madrid, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Granada on December 22, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 La Liga games. Rayo Vallecano, coming off a 2-0 home win against Alavés on December 18, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 La Liga games.
Momentum: Atletico Madrid has been on a downward trend — losing their last 4 La Liga games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in La Liga action on February 16, 2019 and Atletico Madrid won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Atletico Madrid, Luis Suárez has a 43.66 percent chance to score. He averages 2.3 shots overall per sim, 1.25 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.
For Rayo Vallecano, Álvaro García has a 14 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.75 shots overall per sim, 0.3 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Atletico Madrid Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atletico Madrid in this one. Average score in simulations is Atletico Madrid 1.52 to Rayo Vallecano 0.49.
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