Atletico Madrid looks to get back on track when they host Rayo Vallecano on January 2. Atletico Madrid is coming off a 2-1 road setback against Granada on December 22 and they have lost their last four La Liga games while Rayo Vallecano beat Alavés 2-0 at home on December 18. Atletico Madrid is in fifth place in the La Liga standings with 29 points in 18 games while Rayo Vallecano is in fourth place with 30 points in 18 games.

The player to watch in this game is Luis Suárez, who has seven goals and one assist in 18 La Liga games this season. AccuScore gives Suárez a 43.66 percent chance to score against Rayo Vallecano. He has 19 SCA and 3 GCA in 18 La Liga games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” SCG is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atletico Madrid: 1.50
• Rayo Vallecano: 6.80
• Draw: 4.30

Spread
• Atletico Madrid: -0.5, -1: 1.65
• Rayo Vallecano: +0.5, +1: 2.38

Total
• Over 2.5: 1.98
• Under 2.5: 1.92

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Atletico Madrid, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Granada on December 22, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 La Liga games. Rayo Vallecano, coming off a 2-0 home win against Alavés on December 18, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 La Liga games.

Momentum: Atletico Madrid has been on a downward trend — losing their last 4 La Liga games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in La Liga action on February 16, 2019 and Atletico Madrid won 1-0.

Projected Leaders

For Atletico Madrid, Luis Suárez has a 43.66 percent chance to score. He averages 2.3 shots overall per sim, 1.25 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.

For Rayo Vallecano, Álvaro García has a 14 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.75 shots overall per sim, 0.3 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Atletico Madrid Moneyline.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atletico Madrid in this one. Average score in simulations is Atletico Madrid 1.52 to Rayo Vallecano 0.49.

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