Bayern Munich is in second place in the Bundesliga standings with 22 points in 11 games while Mainz is in third place with 18 points in 11 games.
The player to watch in this game is Jamal Musiala, who has six goals and four assists in 10 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Musiala a 41.62 percent chance to score against Mainz. He has 35 SCA and 8 GCA in 10 Bundesliga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Bayern Munich 1.25
• Mainz 9.80
• Draw 6.60
Spread
• Bayern Munich -1.5, -2 (1.81)
• Mainz +1.5, -2 (2.00)
Total
• Over 3.5 (1.86)
• Under 3.5 (1.95)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on April 30 and Mainz won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For Bayern Munich, Jamal Musiala has a 41.62 percent chance to score. He averages 1.51 shots overall per sim, 0.95 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.
For Mainz, Marcus Ingvartsen has a 21.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.71 shots overall per sim, 0.37 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Bayern Munich 2.54 to Mainz 1.09.
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