Wolverhampton hosts Southampton at Molineux stadium this weekend. Wolverhampton is coming off a 1-1 draw vs Manchester United, while Southampton limps into this one following a 3-0 loss to Liverpool.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Wolverhampton: 1.85
• Draw: 3.60
• Southampton: 4.71
Spread
• Wolverhampton -0.5: 1.85
• Southampton +0.5: 2.08
Total
• OVER 2.5: 2.25
• UNDER 2.5: 1.70
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.60 — indicate there’s a 27.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 26.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.52 – 0.49, in favor of Wolverhampton.
Building Momentum: Wolverhampton surprisingly held Manchester United to a 1-1 draw last week at Old Trafford, putting a stop to United’s two-game winning streak.
Playing to Survive: Southampton will be playing with a sense of desperation following their latest loss. Having won just once in their last six league games, Mark Hughes’ side will need a win to avoid falling into the bottom three.
Head-to-Head: Wolves are unbeaten in their last five vs Southampton — winning three, and drawing two. Southampton’s last win at Molineux came way back in 2007, a 6-0 result.
Betting Trend: Wolves are quite impressive at home, having lost just one of their last 20 games overall in this venue.
Projected Leaders
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has a 14 percent chance to score for Southampton. He averages 0.94 shots overall per sim, 0.33 shots on goal per, and 0.15 goals per sim.
For Wolverhampton, AccuScore sims are projecting Diogo Jota to lead the way. He has close to a 33 percent chance to score, averaging 2.5 shots overall per sim, 1.03 shots on goal per, and 0.4 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Wolverhampton to win.
Odds — at 1.85 — indicate there’s a 54 percent chance Wolverhampton wins this matchup. They win close to 62 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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