Wales collides with Iran in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group B action on Friday.
Iran got demolished by England 6-2 on Monday in a game that they could have lost by more goals. Iran put up a fight in the end, finding the back of the net twice and England left the game feeling they could have scored at least eight goals.
Wales is coming off a hard-fought 1-1 draw against the United States on Monday. Timothy Weah gave the US the lead and they played very well in the first half, but Wales adjusted in the second half and a Gareth Bale penalty saved the game for them.
The player to watch in this game is Mehdi Taremi, who has six goals and five assists in 13 Primeira Liga games with Porto this season. AccuScore gives Mehdi Taremi a 55.2 percent chance to score against Wales. He has 44 SCA and 10 GCA in 13 Primeira Liga games with Porto.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Wales 2.07
• Iran 4.20
• Draw 3.25
• Wales 0, -0.5 (2.05)
• Iran 0. +0.5 (1.87)
• Over 2 (1.96)
• Under 2 (1.94)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: This will be the first-ever meeting between these two teams.
For Wales, Gareth Bale has a 23.7 percent chance to score. He averages 2.02 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.
For Iran, Mehdi Taremi has a 55.2 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 4.64 shots overall per sim, 1.43 shots on goal per and 0.8 goals per sim.
Wales rescued a valuable point against the United States and this is a must-win game for them. On paper, Wales should take care of Iran comfortably and set themselves up for second place in Group B after two games. Look for a high-scoring game, Iran’s defense struggled against England and their offense can at least get a goal.
Over 2 (1.96)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Iran 1.5 to Wales 1.11.
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