Etihad Stadium is the venue for a must-watch matchup this Sunday as Manchester City and Arsenal go head-to-head.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.30
• Draw: 6.51
• Arsenal: 9.47
Spread
• Manchester City -1.5: 1.76
• Arsenal FC +1.5: 2.16
Total
• Over 3, 3.5: 1.70
• Under 3, 3.5: 2.25
Draw: There’s a 15 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 21 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.43 – 1.01, in favor of Man City.
Some Numbers: Manchester City leads the Premier League in shots this season; Arsenal is No. 10 in the standings in that stat. Man City, understandably, is also No. 1 in goals this season; Arsenal, however, is No. 3 in goals — much higher than their shots per match stat would indicate.
Head to Head: Man City has won their last 4 matchups with Arsenal. They most recently met in Premier League action back in August of 2018 when Man City won 2-0. Arsenal is goalless in their last three games vs Man City, last scoring against this opponent on November of 2017.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has a 34 percent chance to score for Arsenal this weekend. He averages 1.75 shots overall per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per, and 0.42 goals per sim.
Raheem Sterling has close to a 52 percent chance to score for Man City. Sterling averages 2.66 shots overall per sim, 1.33 shots on goal per and 0.73 goals per sim.
The under.
There’s a 44 percent chance the total combined score stays below 3, 3.5 goals. That happens in 54 percent of AccuScore sims. The under is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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