Man City will look to bounce back from their first loss of the season last wee vs Chelsea, while Everton looks to pick things up after a 2-2 draw vs Watford. Everton have a tough match ahead as it’s never easy to beat Man City in general, but especially at the Etihad Stadium.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.23
• Draw: 7.15
• Everton FC: 13.03
Spread
• Man City -2: 2.01
• Everton +2: 1.92
Total
• Over 3.5: 2.02
• Under 3.5: 1.88
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 12 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 17-to-18 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.51 – 0.86, in favor of Man City.
Referee Named: Craig Pawson was appointed head referee for this match. Man City were unbeaten last season with Pawson as the referee, but this is his first assignment to a City game this season.
Last 6: Man City has 1 loss, 1 draw and four wins in their last six overall. The loss came on the road vs Chelsea, and the draw was an away match vs Lyon. Everton is coming off back-to-back draws, recording 3 draws, 2 wins and 1 loss in their last six overall.
Head to Head: These two sides last faced off in Premier League action back in March of 2018 when Man City won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
Gylfi Sigurðsson has a 22-to-23 percent chance to score for Everton. He averages 1.77 shots overall per sim, 0.61 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.
For Man City, we’ll have our eyes on Raheem Sterling who has close to a 50 percent chance to score. He averages 2.83 shots overall per sim, 1.32 shots on goal per and 0.68 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 3.5
Odds indicate there’s a 53 percent chance the total combined score stays below 3.5 goals. Taht happens in close to 57 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. The under is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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