Fulham will look to bounce back from back-to-back losses as they hit the road this weekend for a matchup with Newcastle United at St. James’ Park. Fulham are currently on a four-game streak without a win.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United: 2.01
• Draw: 3.60
• Fulham FC: 3.94
Spread
• Newcastle United -0.5: 2.03
• Fulham FC +0.5: 1.90
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.97
• Under 2.5: 1.93
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 27 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in under 25 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.88 – 1.04, in favor of Newcastle.
Last 6: Newcastle has 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. They are coming off a 1-0 win over Huddersfield on the road. Fulham has 4 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last six overall. They are coming off an 0-2 loss at home vs West Ham.
Some Numbers to Consider: Newcastle — over their last 15 matches overall — average 0.8 goals per match. Fulham — over their last 28 overall — average 1.11 goals per 90 minutes.
Standings: Heading into this match, Fulham sit at the bottom of the Premier League standings, while Newcastle sit in the No. 14 spot — 7 points ahead.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in March of 2014 when Fulham got a 1-0 victory. They last met overall (League Championship) in March of 2017 when Fulham won, 3-1.
Projected Leaders
Aleksandar Mitrovic has a 32 percent chance to net the ball for Fulham this weekend. He averages 2.41 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Salomón Rondón has a 43 percent chance to score for Newcastle. He averages 3.25 shots overall per sim, 1.28 shots on goal per and 0.56 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Newcastle to win.
Odds indicate there’s a 49-to-50 percent chance Newcastle wins this match in regulation. That happens in close to 56 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. Newcastle winning is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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