Cardiff City and Fulham go head-to-head this weekend at the Welsh capital as Cardiff look to turn things around after a disappointing past month.
Fulham, too, are struggling of late and find themselves just two points from the bottom three.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Cardiff City: 2.47
• Draw: 3.47
• Fulham FC: 2.97
Spread
• Cardiff City FC 0, -0.5: 2.49
• Fulham 0, +0.5: 1.57
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.86
• Under 2.5: 2.04
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.47 — indicate there’s a 29 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 24,5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.87 – 1.48, in favor of Fulham.
Betting on the Total: Odds — at 1.86 — indicate there’s a 53.7 percent chance the total combined score goes over 2.5 goals; it does so in 64.5 percent of AccuScore sims. The average combined score after 10,000 simulations is 3.35 goals. The over is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
Off the Pitch: This past week it was announced that Fulham’s Ryan Sessegnon is one of ten athletes nominated for the BBC’s Young Sports Personality of the Year.
Sessegnon has a 25 percent chance to net the ball this weekend, averaging 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.48 shots on goal per and 0.29 goals per sim.
Head-to-Head: The last two meetings between the two sides have finished in a 1-1 and 2-2 draw, respectively. They last met in September of 2017 that finished in a 1-1 draw behind goals from Sessegnon and Danny Ward, both in the final 15 mins of regulation.
Projected Leaders
Aleksander Mitrovic leads the way for Fulham in AccuScore sims with a 57 percent chance to score. He averages 4.22 shots overall per sim, 1.55 shots on goal per and 0.85 goals per sim.
Josh Murphy has a 24 percent chance to score for Cardiff City. He averages 2.31 shots overall per sim, 0.81 shots on goal per, and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Fulham to win.
Odds — at 2.97 — indicate there’s a 33 percent chance Fulham has to win this game. They win close to 46 percent of AccuScore sims, though, suggesting quite a bit of added side value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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