West Ham United get set to host Southampton at London Staduim in a crucial EPL match in which both teams are in a must-win situation. West Ham have lost in four of their last five Premiere League fixtures, but have a nice opportunity against a Southampton team that have managed just one win in their last 17. <\/p>\n
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match. <\/p>\n
Dafabet Odds<\/strong><\/p>\n 1×2<\/u><\/strong> Total<\/u><\/strong> What to Watch For<\/strong><\/p>\n Potential on the Draw:<\/u><\/strong> Odds — at 3.26 — indicate there’s about a 30.7 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims have a draw in about 31.7 percent of matches, suggesting some — but not much — added value on the draw. <\/p>\n The average score in sims is 1.19 – 0.81, in favor of West Ham.<\/p>\n Picking the Home Team to Win:<\/u><\/strong> West Ham wins about 44 percent of simulated matchups. The odds — at 2.90 — indicate about a 65 percent chance of winning. While AccuScore definitely agrees on West Ham as the favorite, there’s just not enough value on the pick. <\/p>\n Head-to-Head:<\/u><\/strong> There are zero draws in the last five matchups between the two sides; Southampton has won 3, West Ham with 2.<\/p>\n Projected Leaders<\/strong><\/p>\n Carrillo leads the way for Southampton in sims, averaging 0.55 shots on goal and 0.26 goals per sim. He has about a 22-to-23 percent chance of netting the ball Saturday. <\/p>\n Arnautovic has the highest probability of scoring on behalf of West Ham, with about a 29-to-30 percent chance of scoring. He averages 1.66 shots per sim, 0.75 shots on goal and 0.35 goals. <\/p>\n Analyst’s Pick<\/strong><\/p>\n The draw. <\/strong><\/p>\n We’ve got two options here — the home side, West Ham, winning, or a draw. The odds\/probabilities indicate there’s more value on the draw.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Share this story<\/strong><\/p>\n
\n\u2022\tWest Ham to win: 2.90
\n\u2022\tDraw: 3.26
\n\u2022\tSouthampton to win: 2.64<\/p>\n
\n\u2022\tOVER 2: 1.68
\n\u2022\tUNDER 2: 2.28<\/p>\n